2017年3月25日 星期六

The mortality of middle-aged whites continues to rise

Deaths from drugs, suicide and alcohol have risen in every five-year cohort of whites born since the 1940s, according to a study

2017年3月24日 星期五

「在可見的未來,美國依然會活在歐巴馬健保下」(Paul Ryan)



「在可見的未來,我們依然會活在歐巴馬健保下」,美國國會眾院議長萊恩(Paul Ryan)這麼說,等於承認,《交易的藝術》(The Art of Deal)作者川普執政後帶領的首個國會修法行動,宣告失敗。

共和黨對抗歐巴馬健保之戰已經打了7年。他們稱歐巴馬健保是社會主義產物、政府奪權,並指控歐記健保彷彿成立了「生死判小組」(death panels),因為官僚作業可能讓高齡美國民眾無法獲得應有的照顧。

歐巴馬還在任,得以動用否決權的時候,共和黨議員大概表決了50多次,期望撤銷歐巴馬健保,但心裡很清楚,表決不會帶來他們要的結果,但還是得做。

今年1月,川普就任,共和黨參眾兩院一把抓,便立刻宣布首要任務就是盡可能撤銷歐巴馬健保的所有規範,甚至還動用適用於特定預算法案的「快審通道」(fast-track)。因此,撤銷案飆速走完委員會備審程序,進入表決。

川普總統23日下達最後通牒,要求唱反調的共和黨眾議員要在24日前投票支持新法案。
但就在24日,眾院議長萊恩面色凝重宣布,由於太多共和黨成員反對,已經告知川普「目前最好的作法」是撤銷表決案。
選戰早已結束了,但從他的發言聽來,川普還留在選舉戰場上。
川普的巨大挫敗似乎再度暴露他和共和黨之間未解的緊張關係,2016年他雖然一一擊敗共和黨總統初選參選人,但他從來沒有贏得共和黨全體上下的心。

將自己武裝起來的川普,不願意接受這個事實。就選民認知,從總統到參眾兩院都已經是同樣的色系了,不就應該可以在美國政壇呼風喚雨嗎?

表決案撤銷後,川普沒有針對共和黨的不團結發表談話,而是短暫現身白宮橢圓形辦公室。選戰早已結束了,但從他的發言聽來,他還留在選舉戰場上:「歐巴馬健保即將被炸掉。任何人都無力改變這一點。」

川普預測,健保保費今年會巨幅增加,保險公司將逃離個人承保市場。「它(歐巴馬健保)會內爆,然後就會爆炸,這可不會是個漂亮的場面。民主黨成員也不想看到這個場面,所以他們也將伸手向外求援。」川普向來自信,在民主黨員們懇求加入協商、尋求歐巴馬健保的替代方案下,他可以推出「非常、非常好的法案」。

民調顯示,美國民眾反對共和黨版本的替代方案,然而川普視若無睹。而川普本次難堪的挫敗也暴露了一件事:當川普先生和共和黨國會議員稱歐巴馬健保是「災難」、傷害美國人,他們各有不同的動機。

眾議院保守派反對的,其實是歐巴馬健保中的大政府角色。他們不滿,歐巴馬健保禁止了先前常見的低保費,但保險範圍極不足的方案。

至於根本沒機會表決「川普版健保法案」的參議院共和黨議員中,也有許多人反對新法案。原因是歐巴馬健保影響了購買個人保險的民眾,同時利用聯邦補貼州政府的經費,大幅擴大適用醫療補助計畫(Medicaid)殘疾和貧窮民眾的範圍。

各州可以自行決定是否跟進擴大Medicaid適用範圍,但部分決定跟進計畫的聯邦議員們,卻捲入選區保險業的利益糾葛中,甚至有人買廣告抨擊議員。

至於川普攻擊歐巴馬健保的動機則簡單許多。共和黨認為健保既是人民的人權,也是人民的特權,但川普則沒想那麼多。打個比方,如果美國人要花比較少的錢,買沒有安全帶、安全氣囊和無法加裝嬰兒座椅的汽車,那是他們的事。聯邦政府無需說教,要民眾買比較貴的車。

川普不真的那麼關心政策,他其實更關心討好消費者和選民,說他們想聽的話。所以他會告訴美國民眾,他會推出很棒的新健保法,涵蓋更多人、保險內容更好,而且還幫你省荷包。

但直觀的想,用更便宜的價格買更好的東西,已然不合理,且這樣的說法根本牴觸共和黨本身的願景。
根據美國跨黨派「國會預算處」(CBO)評估,川普所支持的健保替代方案,將導致年輕和健康民眾為川普的特定死忠支持者支付超高額保費。
(本文獲得經濟學人獨家授權轉載)


In the first big blow to the Trump administration’s legislative agenda, the Republicans’ plan to repeal and replace Obamacare failed to garner enough support to bring it to a vote on the floor of the House.



Pres. Donald J. Trump spoke out after Republicans pulled the Obamacare overhaul he had endorsed, criticizing Democratic opposition to the bill and passing off the responsibility for its failure.

2017年3月23日 星期四

Robert Reich: Judge Gorsuch must wait for confirmation until Trump is proven to be legitimate


此最高法院的法官可影響每國至2050年.....

Robert Reich
No vote on Gorsuch until the cloud is lifted off the Trump presidency, and the FBI investigation is completed.

There should be no cloud over the legitimacy of the president who makes such a pick.
NEWSWEEK.COM

2017年3月16日 星期四

Loose talk came back to haunt Trump in judge's travel ban ruling

Here are the highlights from the judge's harsh criticism of President Trump's revised travel ban, which was blocked hours before going into effect.

Judge Derrick Watson, a district judge in Honolulu, has blocked Donald Trump’s revised travel ban
THEGUARDIAN.COM




Guardian US 和 The Guardian 都分享了 1 條連結

A Hawaiian judge took Donald J. Trump's words literally and ruled them unconstitutional.

A Hawaii judge tellingly referred to what he called “plainly worded statements made in the months leading up to and contemporaneous with the signing of the executive order, and, in many cases, made by the executive himself” that "betray the executive order’s stated secular purpose”.



Hawaii judge’s insistence that Trump’s talk of banning Muslims must be…
THEGUARDIAN.COM

2017年3月9日 星期四

For women, marriage has become a choice—not a destiny

Unmarried women outnumber married ones for the first time ever. Single women now buy homes at greater rates than single men. The divorce rate, now falling, has plunged fastest among those who stay single longest

2017年3月8日 星期三

WSJ 的部分美國新聞:FBI Is Probing How WikiLeaks Obtained CIA Spy Tools...




Discount Business Class? Thank JetBlue A9

The airline’s Mint service is gaining fans and forcing American and Delta to lower business fares between New York and Los Angeles, Scott McCartney writes.



WikiLeaks’s New Damage A10

Its latest leaks expose U.S. cyber tools against terror networks.

FBI Is Probing How WikiLeaks Obtained CIA Spy Tools A1

The FBI is looking into the leak of a trove of hacking tools apparently used by the CIA, and the initial focus is likely to fall on contractors the spy agency hired, according to people familiar with the matter.



A Plan B for the GOP: Raise Warren Buffett’s Taxes A2

Republicans need a plan B in case their tax overhaul fails. Greg Ip suggests one devised by a liberal and a conservative economist that would slash the corporate rate and tax shareholders more heavily.

2017年3月7日 星期二

特朗普的監聽指控威脅美政府體制Omaha’s Answer to Costly Potholes? Go Back to Gravel Roads A Conspiracy Theory’s Journey From Talk Radio to Trump’s Twitter Repeal of Health Law Faces a New Hurdle: Older Americans

Omaha’s Answer to Costly Potholes? Go Back to Gravel Roads
 A Conspiracy Theory’s Journey From Talk Radio to Trump’s Twitter
 Repeal of Health Law Faces a New Hurdle: Older Americans

FBI局長否認奧巴馬監聽特朗普
但特朗普卻站在右翼網站Breitbart新聞一邊,不接受FBI局長的反駁。同時,民主黨仍然在推動調查特朗普團隊與俄羅斯的關係。


FT社評:特朗普的監聽指控威脅美政府體制
特朗普的“監聽指控”如果不能給出來源和證據,只會破壞人們對美國政府體制的信任,危美美國這個國家的運轉。


2017年3月4日 星期六

The New Spike, a novel, 2017

Trump's wiretapping claim wasn't based on nothing.

He's wrong on details, but the Trump campaign was probably being monitored.
FORTUNE.COM


1988年,台北皇冠文化翻譯The Spike (novel 1980):獨家陰謀,
絕對值得重版/重讀......
"特朗普說奧巴馬下令竊聽川普大廈電話,........"
The Borowitz Report: The President, still wearing his bathrobe after what was reportedly a sleepless night, personally supervised the tin-foil installation.


After the installation was complete, Trump ordered the Secret Service to…
NEWYORKER.COM

In tweeting accusations that former President Barack Obama ordered surveillance of his campaign, President Donald J. Trump potentially made public the existence of Top Secret wiretaps – a move that would be a federal crime, if performed by anyone other than the commander-in-chief.

2017年3月3日 星期五

Sergey Kislyak. The web of relationships between Team Trump and Russia. Donald J. Trump 要求調查民主黨Pelosi 等

Sessions Controversy Heightens Trump's Feeling of Being Under Siege

By MAGGIE HABERMAN

It was the latest unforeseen obstacle preventing the president from gaining traction after a historically bumpy first month in office.


Trump Team's Links to Russia Crisscross in Washington

By SCOTT SHANE and ANDREW E. KRAMER

A growing list of contacts between the president's associates and Russia is drawing increasing scrutiny, a furor that Mr. Trump called a "total witch hunt."



Let’s start at the top and move outward through Trump’s network.





An overview of the reported connections.
WASHINGTONPOST.COM|作者:PHILIP BUMP




Democrats were aghast after learning Attorney General Jeff Sessions met twice, as a senator, with Russia's ambassador to the U.S. without telling Congress at his confirmation hearing – but it turns out Sergey Kislyak is no stranger to lawmakers on both sides of the aisle.8 hours ago

Sessions not alone: Russian ambassador also met with numerous ...

www.foxnews.com/.../sessions-not-alone-russian-ambassador-also-met-with-numerous-d...






白宮本週證實,川普的女婿庫什納在去年12月參加了前國家安全顧問弗林與俄羅斯大使在川普大廈進行的會面。當時,歐巴馬政府正準備對俄羅斯進行制裁,並公開莫斯科干涉美國大選的情報。


~~~~
I hearby demand a second investigation, after Schumer, of Pelosi for her close ties to Russia, and lying about it.


The Democratic House leader sat with the Russian ambassador and other…
WWW.POLITICO.COM