2025年8月19日 星期二

戰勝者/和平獎,一無所獲 川普化解零場戰爭......

 戰勝者/和平獎,一無所獲 川普化解零場戰爭......

//唯一可行的答案是加入北約或類似組織——這項協議將迫使西方聯盟(或任何剩餘的聯盟)竭盡全力保衛烏克蘭。普丁一直將達成此類協議的可能性視為他對烏克蘭發動戰爭的「根本原因」。可以肯定的是,普丁將拒絕任何涉及真正承諾為烏克蘭提供安全的協議。The only plausible answer would be membership in NATO or its equivalent — an agreement that would obligate the Western alliance, or whatever is left of it, to defend Ukraine to the full extent of its abilities. Putin has consistently cited the very possibility of such an agreement as the “root cause” of his war against Ukraine. It is a safe bet that Putin will reject any agreement that involves a real promise of security for Ukraine.
......亞美尼亞和亞塞拜然之間的衝突(同上,但雙方確實前往白宮簽署了協議);柬埔寨和泰國(美國支持的談判最終達成停火,但不一定意味著衝突結束);以色列和伊朗(川普聲稱透過投擲掩體炸彈阻止了核戰)。實際上,這是七個。但同時也是零個。
And that brings me to the number “six” — something Trump kept invoking on Monday, when he claimed that he had resolved that many wars in his first seven months in office. ......That’s actually seven. But also, none.//

雅爾塔會議80多年後,日俄仍未簽署和平條約。二戰對這兩個國家來說從未正式結束,因為日本從未割讓千島群島。所有戰爭都可能以談判告終,但並非所有談判都能結束戰爭。

 

週一上午,俄羅斯政府官方報紙《俄羅斯報》刊登了一段視頻,影片中一輛疑似美製裝甲運兵車懸掛著美國和俄羅斯國旗。據該報報道,這輛車曾被烏克蘭軍隊使用,後來被俄羅斯繳獲,目前正被用於攻擊烏克蘭。我無法確認影片的真實性,但這種挑釁是真的。俄羅斯宣傳人員正在告訴烏克蘭,美國現在是俄羅斯的戰爭夥伴。


雅爾塔會議80多年後,日俄仍未簽署和平條約。二戰對這兩個國家來說從未正式結束,因為日本從未割讓千島群島。所有戰爭都可能以談判告終,但並非所有談判都能結束戰爭。

On Monday morning, Rossiyskaya Gazeta, the official newspaper of the Russian government, published a video of what appeared to be a U.S.-made armored personnel carrier flying both an American and a Russian flag. According to the paper, the vehicle had been used by Ukrainian troops, captured by Russians, and was now used to attack Ukraine. I can’t confirm the authenticity of the video, but the trolling is genuine. Russian propagandists are telling Ukraine that the United States is now Russia’s partner in battle.

More than 80 years after Yalta, no peace treaty exists between Japan and Russia. World War II never officially ended for these two countries, because Japan never ceded the Kuril Islands. All wars may end in negotiations, but not all negotiations end wars.

2025年8月12日 星期二

European leaders say Ukrainians must 'decide their own future' ahead of Trump-Putin summit. the Russian leader could turn a hastily planned meeting to his advantage.

 

When Trump Meets Putin, Anything Could Happen

The U.S. president is pushing to end the war in Ukraine, but analysts say the Russian leader could turn a hastily planned meeting to his advantage.

President Trump and President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia speaking during a news conference in Helsinki in 2019.
President Trump sided with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia on whether the Kremlin had meddled in the 2016 U.S. election during their meeting in Helsinki in 2018.Credit...Doug Mills/The New York Times



FRANCE 24 English

Leaders from every country in the European Union except Hungary on Tuesday stressed that Ukrainians must have the right to decide their own future ahead of an upcoming summit between US President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in the US state of Alaska. It remains unclear if Ukraine will be part of the talks.

日英「準同盟」關係進一步深化。英國海軍航空母艦「威爾斯親王號」於 8 月 12 日進入位於神奈川縣的美軍橫須賀基地

 Joel來談日本

英國海軍航空母艦「威爾斯親王號」於 8 月 12 日進入位於神奈川縣的美軍橫須賀基地,這是繼 2021 年「伊莉莎白女王號」之後,英國航艦第二次訪日。在此之前,英軍戰機首次在日本護衛艦上著艦,顯示日英「準同盟」關係進一步深化。
航艦打擊群中的驅逐艦「不屈號」同時停靠於鄰近的海上自衛隊橫須賀基地,並舉行了歡迎儀式。英國駐日大使隆博頓強調,雙方將強化相互運用能力,以迅速應對各種挑戰,並指出挪威參與象徵印太地區多邊合作的重要性。
日英近年簽署多項防衛合作協定,包括情報保護協定、物品相互提供協定(ACSA),以及 2023 年生效的「圓滑化協定」(RAA),便利部隊互訪。推動合作的背景是雙方在安全保障上面臨共同挑戰,其中包括俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭、北韓對俄軍事支援、中國軍力擴張及鋼鐵產能過剩等問題。
英國是日本在歐洲防衛合作中進展最快的夥伴。日、英、義三國正共同開發預計於 2035 年服役的下一代戰鬥機,藉此建立長期安保合作。此次航艦打擊群訪日也是此計畫的前哨行動,期間英軍「F35B」戰機成功在日本護衛艦「加賀」號著艦,這艘艦艇具備短距起降能力甲板,可作為事實上的航艦使用,提升離島防衛力。
過去只有美軍戰機曾在「加賀」號著艦,此次是英軍首次,並透過社群平台公開訓練影像,向外界展示雙方合作已接近同盟水準。
日本也與其他歐洲國家加強海軍交流。2024 年與北約成員國的聯合演訓次數達 18 次,較 2023 年增加 8 成,合作對象從過去主要與太平洋有領土的法國,擴展到英國、荷蘭、德國等。海軍在公海上行動的靈活性,使得與歐洲各國的協作推進較為順利。2025 年合作持續,例如 5 月日本護衛艦與英國巡邏艦、義大利巡防艦在南海共同航行。2024 年 8 月,日本練習艦赴地中海,與屬於北約常設部隊的加拿大、土耳其、羅馬尼亞艦艇訓練,即使非同盟國,也在戰術上尋求共識與合作。
參考資料:日經新聞